Ten Years That Changed Evaluation · Part 8 of 12

Data, technology and artificial intelligence in MEL

Share of AEA conference proposals mentioning AIPrevious year: "around a fifth"20%2024: "well over half"55%Approximate values ("around a fifth" to "well over half"), as reported by the AEA Technology TIG (Baek, 2024).
Generative AI entered evaluation practice within a single year. Source: AEA365, Baek 2024. Figure: evaluacia.sk, based on the sources cited in the article.

What changed

The "MERL Tech" community (Linda Raftree, Wayan Vota and others, first conference 2014) pushed mobile data collection, dashboards, big data and machine learning into M&E while simultaneously building the "responsible data" agenda: Oxfam's responsible data policy, the Responsible Data Forum, GDPR from 2018.

Michael Bamberger's work with UN Global Pulse framed how satellite imagery, call-detail records and social-media data could enter evaluation; 3ie later ran geospatial impact evaluations while warning that big data would not replace surveys. Acumen's "lean data" — short phone surveys with customers or beneficiaries — spun out as 60 Decibels in 2019 and became the impact-investing sector's default.

COVID-19 forced "remote MEL" in 2020 (phone, IVR and SMS surveys, remote third-party monitoring) and permanently normalised hybrid data collection. Then came generative AI. The MERL Tech natural-language-processing community of practice launched in 2022, months before ChatGPT; by 2024 the American Evaluation Association reported that the share of conference proposals mentioning AI had jumped from around a fifth to well over half in a single year.

Guidance followed in 2024–25 from the UNEG Data Analytics and AI working group, CGIAR's evaluation function and the UK Evaluation Society's AI working group (good-practice guidelines, version 2.0 in November 2025). By 2026 the practical uses had settled into AI-assisted qualitative coding, evidence synthesis and report drafting, with the field arguing about where human judgement must remain.

Frameworks and tools

  • ODK, KoboToolbox, SurveyCTO and CommCare
  • lean data
  • rapid-feedback MERL
  • remote-sensing indicators
  • responsible data policies
  • the UNEG ethical principles for AI in evaluation
  • UKES AI good-practice guidelines
  • "human in the loop" protocols
  • small and non-English language models

Vocabulary to recognise

  • MERL Tech
  • responsible data
  • data minimisation
  • lean data
  • remote MEL
  • real-time data
  • NLP
  • LLM
  • generative AI
  • human-in-the-loop
  • AI-ready data
  • hallucination
  • synthetic respondents

Live controversies

Hallucinated findings and fabricated citations; bias baked into Anglophone, Global North training data; the confidentiality of respondent data fed into commercial models; deskilling of junior evaluators; the environmental footprint of AI; "AI adoption as the goal" rather than a means; and whether AI-generated syntheses of donor archives (such as the analysis of 13,000 USAID evaluations) are credible evidence or plausible-sounding noise.

Further reading

About the author. Andrej Salner is an economist and evaluator, co-founder of the Slovak Governance Institute and of evaluacia.sk. He has designed and led evaluations for Slovak ministries, EU and EEA programmes and NGOs since 2004. More about the team · Impact measurement & evaluation services.
A note on authorship and method. This series was researched and written by Andrej Salner with the assistance of AI tools (large language models used for literature search, summarising and drafting). The framing, the selection of sources, the judgements and the final text are the author's, and the author takes responsibility for them; links were checked in September 2026. The Slovak version is an AI-assisted translation of the English original, reviewed by the author. Corrections and additions are welcome at info@evaluacia.sk.
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